Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.010551 0.012652 0.015245 0.018743 0.023445 0.029712 0.038995
2025-05-25 0.007559 0.009798 0.012895 0.017684 0.025301 0.037769 0.061899
2025-06-01 0.006059 0.008235 0.011469 0.016944 0.026762 0.045637 0.091975
2025-06-08 0.005324 0.007529 0.011011 0.017403 0.030241 0.059338 0.153518
2025-06-15 0.004674 0.006801 0.010314 0.017169 0.032241 0.071586 0.238765
2025-06-22 0.004058 0.006016 0.009348 0.016130 0.032029 0.078211 0.325882
2025-06-29 0.003724 0.005642 0.009024 0.016263 0.034649 0.096159 0.566882
2025-07-06 0.003509 0.005438 0.008962 0.016925 0.039025 0.126555 1.259613
2025-07-13 0.003391 0.005382 0.009168 0.018251 0.046226 0.183907 4.817346
2025-07-20 0.003220 0.005205 0.009098 0.018893 0.051796 0.249608 30.847234
2025-07-27 0.003024 0.004956 0.008836 0.018970 0.055493 0.317863 1745.829132
2025-08-03 0.002858 0.004747 0.008625 0.019132 0.059790 0.415372 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002634 0.004422 0.008159 0.018591 0.061473 0.511687 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002399 0.004055 0.007557 0.017526 0.060186 0.571061 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002214 0.003769 0.007101 0.016793 0.060204 0.669890 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002118 0.003655 0.007027 0.017247 0.067257 1.063063 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001995 0.003473 0.006767 0.017016 0.070276 1.464546 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001845 0.003222 0.006305 0.015989 0.067393 1.563034 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001766 0.003113 0.006183 0.016121 0.072771 2.523969 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001716 0.003064 0.006202 0.016774 0.083212 5.812803 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001695 0.003074 0.006375 0.018084 0.102185 32.183733 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001648 0.003021 0.006373 0.018718 0.116917 448.999679 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001585 0.002926 0.006247 0.018794 0.126237 NaN NaN